While markets expected the US Federal Reserve to cut (Fed rate cut) interest rates this week, the magnitude of the change, a 0.05% reduction, was unexpected. The announcement sent higher equities, which spurred crude markets as economic growth cannot occur without an increase in energy consumption.

Stepped-up attacks on Hezbollah by Israel and an inventory draw also played a role in supporting the rally. Furthermore, the US is back in the oil market as the US Department of Energy (DOE) announced its intent to purchase up to 6.0 million bbl to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) with deliveries occurring during first quarter 2025.

However, while higher week-on-week, prices remained capped by ongoing concerns over demand in China as its central bank decided not to lower key interest rates despite a sluggish economy and despite the move by the US government. The high for WTI of $72.50/bbl was set on Thursday while the low was Monday’s $68.65/bbl.

Brent crude also stair-stepped higher with $75.20/bbl as its high on Thursday and the week’s low of $71.50 on Monday. Substantial buying interest was seen when Brent dipped below $70/bbl the prior week, suggesting a key level of support. Both grades of oil look to settle higher week-on-week. The WTI/Brent spread tightened to -$3.52.

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Source: Oil & Gas Journal

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