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Fossil fuels

Fossil fuels could become cheaper and more abundant, says IEA

Fossil fuels could soon become significantly cheaper and more abundant as governments accelerate the transition to clean energy towards the end of the decade, according to the International Energy Agency.

The world’s energy watchdog has signalled a new energy era in which countries have access to more oil, gas and coal than needed to fuel their economic growth, leading to lower prices for households and businesses.

The Paris-based agency’s influential annual outlook report found that energy consumers could expect some “breathing space” from recent spikes in global oil and gas prices triggered by geopolitical upheavals because investment in new fossil fuel projects has outpaced the world’s demand.

Fatih Birol, the executive director of the IEA, said the report confirms its prediction that the world’s fossil fuel consumption will peak before 2030 and fall into permanent decline as climate policies take effect. But continuing investment in fossil fuel projects will spell falling market prices for oil and gas, the IEA added.

“I can’t say whether or not we will see [oil prices of] $100 a barrel again, but what I can say is that despite the ongoing conflict in the Middle East we are still seeing oil prices in the $70s,” he said.

Oil prices dipped below $74 on Tuesday amid growing concern about weak Chinese demand.

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Source: The Guardian

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By the end of this decade, the report found, the fossil-fuel industry aims to sanction nearly four times this amount – 31bn barrels of oil equivalent – across 64 additional new oil and gas fields.

World set to quadruple oil and gas production by 2030, led by new US projects

The world’s fossil-fuel producers are on track to nearly quadruple oil and gas production from newly approved projects by the end of this decade, with the US leading the way in a surge of activity that threatens to blow apart agreed climate goals, a new report has found.

There can be no new oil and gas infrastructure if the planet is to avoid careering past 1.5C (2.7F) of global heating, above pre-industrial times, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has previously stated. Breaching this warming threshold, agreed to by governments in the Paris climate agreement, will see ever worsening effects such as heatwaves, floods, drought and more, scientists have warned.

But since the IEA’s declaration in 2021, countries and major fossil fuel companies have forged ahead with a glut of new oil and gas activity. At least 20bn barrels of oil equivalent of new oil and gas has been discovered for future drilling since this point, according to the new report by Global Energy Monitor, a San Francisco-based NGO.

Last year, at least 20 oil and gas fields were readied and approved for extraction following discovery, sanctioning the removal of 8bn barrels of oil equivalent. By the end of this decade, the report found, the fossil-fuel industry aims to sanction nearly four times this amount – 31bn barrels of oil equivalent – across 64 additional new oil and gas fields.

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Source: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

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Gas is the only cost-efficient energy generation capable of providing the type of 24/7 reliable power required by the big technology companies to power the AI boom.

AI needs a lot of electricity — oil and gas will help

Global energy demand is projected to surge in coming years amid the growth of artificial intelligence, which requires massive amounts of electricity. AI needs a lot of electricity to sustain provision.

The Wall Street Journal reported that big tech companies’ “obsession” with finding enough energy to power the AI boom was the talk of CERA Week by S&P Global last month.

America’s electric grid will need a major boost to power the rapid rise in data centers popping up across the country, and despite the push for renewables, there is growing skepticism that wind and solar energy sources will be able to keep up with the demand. Now, there is a renewed look at old-faithful: fossil fuels.

The Financial Times reported this week that producers believe the AI revolution will “usher in a golden era for natural gas,” with one executive telling the outlet, “Gas is the only cost-efficient energy generation capable of providing the type of 24/7 reliable power required by the big technology companies to power the AI boom.”

But what if AI helps find more energy to power itself?

Phil Flynn, an energy market analyst and FOX Business contributor, says AI will substantially impact the U.S. oil and gas industry not only by increasing efficiency in finding oil, but by assisting in producing it in cleaner ways.

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Source: Fox Business

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