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The US Energy Information Administration projects that the nation’s unconventional oil and gas production will reach record levels in November. There are indications that inflation could limit growth moving forward.

According to the EIA’s monthly Drilling Productivity Report, shale oil production should surpass 9 million barrels per day in October. It will increase to 9.1 million bpd in November. Shale gas production is anticipated to increase to 94.5 billion cubic feet per day this month.

U.S. dry natural gas production in 2021 was about 34.5 trillion cubic feet (Tcf). It is an average of about 94.6 billion cubic feet per day and the highest annual amount recorded. Most of the production increases since 2005 are the result of horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing techniques. Notably in shale, sandstone, carbonate, and other tight geologic formations. Natural gas is produced from onshore and offshore natural gas and oil wells and from coal beds. In 2021, U.S. dry natural gas production was about 13% greater than U.S. total natural gas consumption.

U.S. dry natural gas production in 2021 was about 1 Tcf greater than in 2020. This is as the natural gas drilling industry recovered from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and encouraged by increases in demand, especially for exports, and by higher prices for natural gas.

Five of the 34 natural gas-producing states accounted for about 70% of total U.S. dry natural gas production in 2021. 09178789739

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Source: Upstream

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Global Oil Demand

After a counter-seasonal drop in July, global oil demand rebounded in August by 2 million barrels per day (BPD) to reach 99 percent of pre-Covid levels, data from the Joint Organizations Data Initiative (JODI) showed on Monday.

Oil demand growth in August was driven by higher consumption in the United States, China, Japan, Saudi Arabia, and Indonesia, the Riyadh-based International Energy Forum (IEF) said, citing the latest JODI data.

Of note in August was also a 500,000 BPD increase in global crude oil output, with Saudi Arabia’s production rising above 11 million BPD – only the third time the Kingdom has reported output of over 11 million BPD, according to the JODI database which compiles self-reported figures from countries.

In the United States, crude oil production rose by 290,000 bpd in August and is up by 813,000 bpd from year-ago levels, the data showed. Product demand rose by 1.46 million bpd in August, and U.S. crude oil closing stocks dropped by 22.7 million barrels to their second-lowest level recorded in JODI.

The August rebound in global demand follows an estimated 1.1 million bpd drop in July, which was an unusual slump for this time of the year.

Demand for August may have rebounded, but the oil market and oil analysts say that the ongoing economic slowdown and looming recessions could limit demand growth in the near term.

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Source: Oil Price

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Exxon

Exxon Mobil Corp. is considering a takeover of Plano-based Denbury Incorporated. They are an oil and gas producer with the largest carbon dioxide pipeline network in the U.S. This is according to people familiar with the matter.

Irving-based Exxon has expressed preliminary interest in the company. They are asking not to be identified because the matter isn’t public. They are adding that no final decision has been made. With that Exxon could opt against proceeding with a potential deal.

If a takeover happens, it would be the biggest carbon-management investment since the Inflation Reduction Act was passed in August. It will be providing large tax incentives for burying carbon dioxide. The legislation increased tax credits for carbon capture 70% to $85 a ton.

Executives including Exxon CEO Darren Woods have praised the act. Is is bringing financial support for carbon capture. Morgan Stanley says could be highly profitable in the future.

Shares of Denbury jumped as much as 12% and traded at $98.83 in New York Monday afternoon, giving the company a market value of about $4.9 billion. A Denbury representative declined to comment, while an Exxon representative didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

Carbon capture is the bedrock of Exxon’s climate strategy, which aims to eliminate the oil giant’s operational emissions by 2050. Denbury’s 1,300 miles of pipelines in the Gulf Coast and the Rocky Mountains dedicated to transporting carbon dioxide would give Exxon critical and hard-to-replicate infrastructure that will be essential if its carbon capture push is to be a success.

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Source: The Dallas Morning News

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Permian Basin Oil and Gas Wells

Oil and gas operations in the Permian Basin – shared by southeast New Mexico and West Texas – boomed in recent years with wells sprouting up around the state line between the two states.

Wells even crossed state lines, being drilled horizontally from origin points in either New Mexico or Texas and stretching up to 10 miles across the border.

They are ensuring such wells follow the regulations of both states. New Mexico’s Oil Conservation Division (OCD) and the Texas Railroad Commission (RRC) signed an agreement. They will regulate interstate oil and gas facilities in tandem.

A memorandum of understanding (MOA) was signed by the two regulators last month. This is to require they both get adequate reporting and compliance from oil and gas operators that cross the state’s border.

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Source: Carlsbad Current-Argus

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Oil and Gas Drilling Auctions

The U.S. Interior Department took initial steps on Thursday toward holding oil and gas drilling auctions in New Mexico, Wyoming, and the Gulf of Mexico in the coming months.

Terms of the onshore sales will reflect new requirements under President Joe Biden’s new climate change and drug pricing law the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), including higher royalty rates, minimum bids, and rents, Interior said.

Interior’s Bureau of Land Management said it was seeking public input for 30 days on a plan to offer 251,086 acres in Wyoming and 10,124 acres in New Mexico to oil and gas companies.

The IRA, which Biden signed into law in August, contains nearly $370 billion for climate change and clean energy initiatives such as incentives for solar and wind power. But it also contains protections for the powerful oil and gas sector.

Biden vowed during his 2020 election campaign to end federal oil and gas drilling to fight climate change, but faced pressure to increase fuel production in the face of soaring prices.

Interior said it would evaluate potential sale parcels in other states in the coming weeks.

Separately, the Interior’s Bureau of Ocean Energy Management released a draft environmental review for two Gulf of Mexico drilling auctions that are required to be held next year.

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Source: Reuters

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Oil Prices Rise

The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a surprise draw this week for crude oil of 1.770 million barrels. On the other hand, analysts predicted oil prices rise of 333,000 barrels. U.S. crude inventories have grown by roughly 21 million barrels so far this year, according to API data, while the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserves fell by nearly eight times that figure.

The draw comes even as the Department of Energy released 6.2 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserves in the week ending September 30 that left the SPR with 416.4 million barrels.

WTI rose on Tuesday prior to the data release. At 2:28 p.m. ET, WTI was trading up $3.15 (+3.77%) on the day at $86.78 per barrel—up nearly $9 per barrel on the week (after a $7 per barrel slide in the week prior). Brent crude was trading up $3.13 (+3.52%) on the day at $91.99—a more than $6 increase on the week that more than erased the previous week’s $5 decrease. Crude oil prices continued to rise throughout the afternoon, with a flurry of OPEC+ chatter detailing just how much crude oil production the group could decide to cut for December. The most recent report figure suggests the group could be contemplating a cut up to 2 million bpd.

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Source: Oil Price

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More Oil

Oil demand in the US soared during the summer, even as higher pump prices forced many Americans to cut back on driving.

Overall petroleum supplied, a proxy for demand, posted its best July since 2019, according to government data released Friday. June was even stronger, with demand for the month at a 16-year high. The boost came despite a marked drop in gasoline consumption, which fell 6% from a year ago and double June’s decline.

The shocks of high gasoline costs are ricocheting through the economy, and industry analysts see little relief on the horizon. Crude oil, the natural resource used to produce gasoline and diesel fuel, has seen dramatic changes to its supply throughout the pandemic.

The onset of the pandemic led to an initial drop in prices for petroleum-based products, and then, just as abruptly, prices rose sharply

Demand has started to fall by single-digit percentage points in parts of the country where gasoline prices have hit the highest. As petrol prices continue to break records in the United States, putting a significant strain on Americans‘ wallets and threatening economy.

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Source: Bloomberg

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Oil prices jump

Oil prices jump rose on Wednesday for a second day, rebounding from recent losses as the U.S. dollar eased off recent gains and U.S. fuel inventory figures showed larger-than-expected drawdowns and a rebound in consumer demand.

Brent crude futures settled up $3.05, or 3.5%, at $89.32 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures ended up $3.65, or 4.7%, to $82.15 a barrel.

Analysts said oil prices, down more than 22% during the third quarter, may be bottoming out as Chinese demand shows signs of rebounding and the U.S. sales of strategic reserves come to a close.

“I do think we are bottoming, but it is going to continue to be exceptionally volatile and continue to be keeping easy speculative money away from this market,” said Rebecca Babin, senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth US.

U.S. inventory figures showed consumer demand rebounded, though refining product supplied remained 3% lower over the last four weeks than the year-ago period.

U.S. crude stocks fell by 215,000 barrels in the most recent week, while gasoline inventories declined by 2.4 million barrels and distillate inventories by 2.9 million barrels, as refining activity declined following several outages.

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Source: Reuters

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Oil and gas will continue to remain a significant part of oil-producing countries’ energy mix. The need for energy grows every year. With that, this will ensure global energy security in line with the green shift in mind as experts say.

The UAE was seeing record growth in renewables. This is what Sultan Al Jaber said. He is the United Arab Emirates’ special envoy for climate change and minister of industry and advanced technology

But while wind and solar accounted for most of the new power generation capacity last year, he said this still only comprises 4 percent of today’s energy mix.

“A successful energy transition must progress with economic and climate action in tandem. As part of this, we know we must do more now to reduce the impact of oil and gas on the climate,” he said.

In its monthly oil market report published on Sept 13, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries reported that world oil demand growth in 2022 remained unchanged from the previous month’s assessment “at a healthy level of 3.1 million barrels per day”.

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Source: Hellenic Shipping News

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US Crude Oil

U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) increased by 1.1 million barrels from the previous week.  At 430.8 million barrels, inventories are about 2% below the five-year average for this time of year, according to the EIA crude oil and petroleum weekly storage data, reporting inventories as of September 16, 2022.

U.S. refinery inputs averaged 16.4 million barrels per day during the week ending September 16, 2022, which was 333,000 barrels per day more than the previous week’s average. Refineries operated at 93.6% of their operable capacity last week.

  • Gasoline production increased last week, averaging 9.5 million barrels per day.
  • Distillate fuel production increased last week, averaging 5.2 million barrels per day.

Imports

U.S. crude oil imports averaged 6.9 million barrels per day last week, increased by 1.2 million barrels per day from the previous week. Over the past four weeks, crude oil imports averaged about 6.4 million barrels per day, 4.5% less than the same four-week period last year.

Total motor gasoline imports (including both finished gasoline and gasoline blending components) last week averaged 775,000 barrels per day, and distillate fuel imports averaged 107,000 barrels per day.

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Source: Oil &  Gas 360

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